
\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{\label{table:selection-appendix} Emergence of Tea Party Nonincumbent Candidate}
   \bigskip
   \centering
   \small
   \begin{tabular}{lccc}
      \toprule
                                              & (1)            & (2)            & (3)\\  
      \midrule 
      Change in Default Rate, 2001-07         & 2.33           & 1.92           & 2.82\\   
                                              & (1.39)         & (1.41)         & (1.79)\\   
      Has Tea Party Incumbent                 & -0.337$^{***}$ & -0.290$^{***}$ & -0.258$^{***}$\\   
                                              & (0.041)        & (0.054)        & (0.052)\\   
      Open Seat                               & 0.126$^{*}$    & 0.115$^{*}$    & 0.100\\   
                                              & (0.064)        & (0.063)        & (0.064)\\   
      '08 Democratic Presidential Vote Shares &                & 0.276          & 1.46$^{***}$\\   
                                              &                & (0.219)        & (0.339)\\   
      Past Ave. Republican Candidate CFScore  &                & 0.251$^{***}$  & 0.218$^{**}$\\   
                                              &                & (0.079)        & (0.084)\\   
      White                                   &                &                & 0.029\\   
                                              &                &                & (0.375)\\   
      Black                                   &                &                & -0.897$^{*}$\\   
                                              &                &                & (0.472)\\   
      Hispanic                                &                &                & -0.199\\   
                                              &                &                & (0.391)\\   
      Logged Median Household Income          &                &                & 0.172\\   
                                              &                &                & (0.274)\\   
      Less Than High School                   &                &                & 1.18\\   
                                              &                &                & (2.22)\\   
      High School Diplomas                    &                &                & 2.61\\   
                                              &                &                & (1.98)\\   
      Some College                            &                &                & 1.36\\   
                                              &                &                & (1.87)\\   
      College Degrees                         &                &                & 1.93\\   
                                              &                &                & (3.14)\\   
      Age 15-24                               &                &                & 4.70\\   
                                              &                &                & (3.96)\\   
      Age 25-34                               &                &                & -0.240\\   
                                              &                &                & (3.84)\\   
      Age 35-44                               &                &                & -1.21\\   
                                              &                &                & (3.17)\\   
      Age 45-54                               &                &                & 3.70\\   
                                              &                &                & (5.05)\\   
      Age 55-59                               &                &                & 5.83\\   
                                              &                &                & (8.73)\\   
      Age 60-64                               &                &                & -9.94\\   
                                              &                &                & (10.8)\\   
      Age 65-74                               &                &                & 4.35\\   
                                              &                &                & (7.59)\\   
      \midrule 
      State FEs                               & \checkmark     & \checkmark     & \checkmark\\   
      \midrule 
      Observations                            & 423            & 421            & 421\\  
      \bottomrule
   \end{tabular}
\end{table}


